Guadalajara Premier vs Toluca Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadalajara Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 3
GUA
25%
24%
52%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
4 - 0
CAC
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAZ
4 - 2
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
TEM
1 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
LOR
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
RCU
0 - 1
TOL
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 3
AEM
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 2
TOL
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 2
IRA
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
TOL
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |