Guadalajara Premier vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadalajara Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
LEO
0 - 1
GUA
27%
24%
49%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 3
TIG
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
TIG
3 - 0
GUA
45%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
TOL
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 3
GUA
33%
24%
42%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
DUR
2 - 0
TIJ
42%
24%
35%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
DUR
2 - 1
MUR
52%
22%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CSL
1 - 0
DUR
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
DUR
1 - 3
MON
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
DUR
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -2 |