Guadalajara Premier vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadalajara Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
LOR
3 - 1
GUA
64%
19%
16%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 0
QUE
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
PAC
0 - 1
GUA
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 5
TEM
31%
25%
43%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
AEM
3 - 0
GUA
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -3 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RCU
0 - 2
CAZ
18%
24%
57%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CAZ
1 - 2
UAP
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 2
CAZ
27%
26%
48%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
CAZ
2 - 0
IRA
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
LOR
2 - 0
CAZ
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -3 |