Guadalajara C vs Hogar Alcarreño B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
78.1%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
10%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadalajara C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
JAD
5 - 0
GUA
91%
6%
3%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 5
CES
42%
20%
38%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TOR
5 - 0
GUA
88%
8%
4%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 5
ALM
6%
12%
82%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
YEB
5 - 0
GUA
50%
20%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hogar Alcarreño B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
USA
3 - 1
HOG
8%
14%
79%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
HOG
3 - 0
JAD
53%
20%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CES
1 - 3
HOG
11%
15%
74%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
HOG
4 - 1
TOR
38%
21%
41%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ALM
7 - 2
HOG
61%
18%
22%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -2 |