Guaçuano vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaçuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 2
GUA
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SJS
3 - 1
GUA
52%
24%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
AME
43%
24%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 6
NOV
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
VOT
1 - 0
GUA
54%
24%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
RIO
24%
25%
52%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
VOT
4 - 1
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SER
3 - 2
SAO
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 2
AME
46%
26%
29%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |