Guaçuano vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaçuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
JUV
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
GUA
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 1
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
RIO
20%
21%
60%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
TAU
3 - 0
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 0
MAR
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
GRE
44%
24%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
BAT
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
GRE
38%
24%
38%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAO
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |