Guaçuano vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaçuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
4 - 0
JUV
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 5
GUA
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
FRA
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
BAT
29%
24%
47%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 1
ITA
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
IND
50%
23%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ECN
1 - 1
GRE
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
OSV
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 1
GRE
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |