Guaçuano vs Flamengo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaçuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
GUA
41%
26%
34%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
RIO
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 0
FLA
9%
16%
75%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SJS
1 - 2
GUA
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
VOT
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 1
NOV
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
AME
2 - 1
FLA
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 2
AUD
24%
23%
52%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 0
FLA
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
0 - 1
ATL
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |