GSV .28 vs Caesar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GSV .28
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
HEI
0 - 1
GSV
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
GSV
1 - 4
TOP
36%
25%
39%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
HVV
1 - 1
GSV
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 1
GSV
68%
17%
14%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
GSV
1 - 3
MEE
12%
18%
70%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Caesar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAE
0 - 4
WIT
13%
20%
68%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
RVU
2 - 1
CAE
44%
24%
32%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAE
0 - 3
OSS
17%
21%
62%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RKS
2 - 0
CAE
83%
12%
6%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CAE
3 - 2
BSV
20%
22%
58%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |