G. Caliche vs S. Fulgencio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
41.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
G. Caliche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MON
2 - 3
GRU
19%
17%
64%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
GRU
1 - 2
BIG
43%
22%
35%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
RED
1 - 2
GRU
36%
21%
43%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
GRU
2 - 2
CFP
66%
17%
17%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 4
GRU
30%
21%
49%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
S. Fulgencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SPO
4 - 1
FOR
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ATO
0 - 4
SPO
55%
20%
25%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SPO
3 - 0
DNA
45%
23%
33%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ALG
3 - 3
SPO
29%
22%
49%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 2
MUR
31%
22%
48%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |