G. Caliche vs Bigastro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
67.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
G. Caliche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 0
GRU
42%
23%
35%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GRU
1 - 1
CAL
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 4
GRU
48%
23%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GRU
2 - 1
BEN
36%
23%
40%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bigastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BIG
3 - 0
BOR
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CLU
1 - 5
BIG
9%
16%
75%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BIG
2 - 0
MON
87%
9%
3%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 0
BIG
22%
22%
56%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
LOL
3 - 1
BIG
80%
14%
6%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +6 |