Grunwald vs Czaniec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grunwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
POD
3 - 5
GRU
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GRU
1 - 3
MGJ
25%
22%
54%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
RUC
3 - 4
GRU
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GRU
0 - 3
PAW
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
STA
2 - 2
GRU
79%
14%
8%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Czaniec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CZA
0 - 2
RUC
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SZO
2 - 0
CZA
81%
13%
7%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CZA
0 - 1
SKR
32%
26%
42%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GOR
2 - 0
CZA
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CZA
1 - 0
PIA
52%
23%
26%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |