Grunwald vs Czaniec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grunwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MGJ
4 - 0
GRU
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GRU
0 - 0
GOR
68%
18%
15%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
SWO
3 - 0
GRU
29%
23%
49%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
GRU
1 - 1
PIA
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
GRU
4 - 2
REK
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Czaniec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CZA
0 - 3
STA
23%
24%
53%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
GOR
0 - 1
CZA
50%
23%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CZA
1 - 0
SWO
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
CZA
5 - 1
PIA
66%
20%
15%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
REK
3 - 0
CZA
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |