Grünstern vs Portalban / Gletterens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
75.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grünstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
LOC
3 - 0
GRU
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
COL
1 - 0
GRU
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GRU
3 - 2
THI
23%
22%
55%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BER
2 - 1
GRU
38%
22%
40%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GRU
0 - 6
SEC
12%
18%
71%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Portalban / Gletterens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
FAR
82%
11%
6%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
COL
0 - 3
POR
23%
23%
55%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ECH
0 - 1
POR
26%
21%
53%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
STA
1 - 3
POR
25%
21%
54%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
MAR
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |