Grün-Weiß Piesteritz vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
71.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grün-Weiß Piesteritz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
WAG
1 - 1
GRU
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
FCH
3 - 2
GRU
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
GRU
2 - 3
DYN
15%
20%
65%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
GRU
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GRU
0 - 4
LOK
19%
22%
59%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AUE
2 - 0
ROT
45%
24%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ZWI
2 - 2
AUE
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AUE
2 - 1
BUD
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
AUE
34%
23%
43%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
DYN
1 - 1
AUE
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |