Grün-Weiß Micheldorf vs Union Edelweiß analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
6º
15º
9º
45
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grün-Weiß Micheldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
OED
1 - 2
GRU
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SVZ
2 - 1
GRU
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GRU
1 - 0
WEL
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
GRU
2 - 2
OST
45%
21%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
WEA
3 - 0
GRU
61%
20%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Union Edelweiß
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 1
SVZ
59%
20%
22%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
4 - 0
OST
35%
22%
43%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +3 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
STM
3 - 1
UNI
52%
22%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
SBL
61%
19%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SVF
1 - 0
UNI
32%
21%
48%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |