Grün-Weiß Micheldorf vs Zebau Bad Ischl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
27.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
9º
16º
10º
33
10º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 56 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
78% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
62% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
92% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
73% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
73% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grün-Weiß Micheldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
WEA
2 - 2
GRU
61%
19%
20%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 3
GRU
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
GRU
3 - 2
UNP
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ASV
2 - 1
GRU
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
GRU
0 - 3
SVF
42%
21%
37%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Zebau Bad Ischl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
STM
0 - 1
SVZ
64%
18%
18%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SVF
2 - 0
SVZ
63%
18%
20%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SVZ
1 - 2
SBL
52%
20%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
GMU
2 - 0
SVZ
18%
18%
65%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SVZ
1 - 5
PWD
36%
22%
43%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |