Grün-Weiß Micheldorf vs SV Wallern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
12º
12º
58
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
31% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
69% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grün-Weiß Micheldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PWD
1 - 8
GRU
55%
21%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
GRU
1 - 2
OED
24%
21%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
UMA
1 - 1
GRU
46%
22%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
GRU
3 - 1
ASV
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
3 - 2
GRU
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SV Wallern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
SVW
2 - 2
SPG
75%
14%
11%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
WEL
0 - 8
SVW
37%
22%
41%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
SVW
0 - 4
OST
81%
11%
8%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
UNP
4 - 1
SVW
19%
21%
61%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
SVW
6 - 2
STM
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |