Grün-Weiß Micheldorf vs Kornspitz Pregarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
12º
12º
33
3º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
31% | 82.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
69% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grün-Weiß Micheldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 2
GRU
28%
22%
50%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
GRU
2 - 1
OST
67%
17%
16%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
UNP
3 - 1
GRU
21%
22%
56%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
GRU
0 - 1
STM
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GRU
1 - 1
UNI
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kornspitz Pregarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FRI
0 - 0
SPG
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
SPG
4 - 0
WEL
62%
19%
18%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
OST
4 - 0
SPG
27%
22%
51%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SPG
3 - 1
UNP
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SPG
2 - 0
STM
30%
23%
47%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |