Grün-Weiß Micheldorf vs St. Valentin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
36%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
12º
12º
42
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
31% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
69% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grün-Weiß Micheldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
3 - 2
GRU
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
GRU
10 - 0
STA
88%
9%
4%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
GRU
0 - 2
FRI
75%
14%
11%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
SPG
3 - 2
GRU
38%
23%
39%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
GRU
8 - 0
WEL
25%
22%
53%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
St. Valentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ASV
2 - 0
SPG
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
WEL
1 - 2
ASV
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ASV
0 - 1
OST
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
UNP
1 - 1
ASV
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
ASV
2 - 0
STM
26%
23%
51%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |