Grumellese vs Ciserano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grumellese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
PSM
3 - 1
GRU
70%
19%
12%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GRU
0 - 0
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
OLG
0 - 1
GRU
39%
26%
36%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
GRU
1 - 4
VBE
28%
23%
50%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LEV
2 - 2
GRU
30%
22%
48%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CIS
2 - 3
FAN
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PON
1 - 0
CIS
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CIS
0 - 3
ASS
16%
24%
60%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 1
CIS
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CIS
0 - 1
DAR
37%
26%
38%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |