Grumellese vs Ciserano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grumellese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 1
GRU
21%
24%
54%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAV
1 - 1
GRU
13%
19%
69%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
GRU
1 - 0
VIL
65%
21%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ORC
0 - 6
GRU
16%
20%
64%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
GRU
0 - 0
REZ
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CIS
1 - 1
PIA
25%
22%
53%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
SER
3 - 1
CIS
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
CIS
3 - 2
VIR
39%
24%
38%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 1
CIS
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CIS
0 - 1
CAR
67%
19%
15%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |