Grumellese vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grumellese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ASS
2 - 0
GRU
53%
21%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GRU
0 - 0
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PSM
2 - 1
GRU
28%
23%
49%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
GRU
3 - 1
SER
44%
26%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PER
0 - 1
GRU
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LEC
2 - 2
MAP
82%
12%
5%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SER
3 - 3
LEC
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 1
FIO
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
PRO
1 - 2
LEC
15%
22%
64%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 2
BUS
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |