Grue vs Ottestad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
56.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
GIL
0 - 2
GRU
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
GRU
0 - 1
SIL
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
GRU
3 - 1
RAU
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2014 |
MIL
4 - 4
GRU
25%
22%
53%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
HAM
1 - 1
GRU
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ottestad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
OTT
3 - 0
FFL
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
OTT
2 - 2
FVI
51%
20%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2014 |
GJO
0 - 3
OTT
14%
17%
70%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
LIL
4 - 3
OTT
73%
14%
13%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
OTT
3 - 1
FFK
56%
20%
23%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |