Grue vs HamKam II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
78.7%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
17%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.6%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
GJE
9 - 1
GRU
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GRU
0 - 1
RFK
46%
22%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
OTT
2 - 0
GRU
87%
8%
4%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
GRU
1 - 1
LOK
12%
17%
71%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
KON
3 - 0
GRU
71%
16%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
HamKam II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
HAM
3 - 1
SKE
18%
18%
64%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
SKJ
2 - 3
HAM
81%
11%
8%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
HAM
1 - 4
ASK
6%
11%
83%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
UIK
1 - 2
HAM
48%
20%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
HAM
1 - 2
HAU
23%
20%
57%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |