Groupe Bazano vs TP Mazembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groupe Bazano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
GBA
1 - 1
TSH
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
USP
0 - 1
GBA
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
GBA
1 - 4
DBL
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 2
GBA
47%
28%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
GBA
3 - 0
SIM
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
TPM
3 - 0
USP
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
TPM
3 - 0
DBL
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 0
TPM
41%
30%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 0
TPM
22%
27%
51%
|
72 | 13 | 59 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TPM
1 - 1
ASM
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 9 | 63 | 0 |