Groupe Bazano vs TP Mazembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
21.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groupe Bazano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
DIB
0 - 2
GBA
39%
29%
31%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
GBA
2 - 0
OPA
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
NSG
1 - 2
GBA
42%
29%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
GBA
1 - 0
LUB
47%
27%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
SAI
0 - 0
GBA
47%
29%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DIB
0 - 5
TPM
41%
30%
29%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
TPM
1 - 0
LUB
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
DBL
0 - 3
TPM
56%
26%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TPM
0 - 0
ETO
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ETO
1 - 1
TPM
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |