Groupe Bazano vs Motema Pembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.1%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
30.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groupe Bazano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
GBA
0 - 0
VCL
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
RCK
2 - 1
GBA
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
JSK
1 - 1
GBA
36%
30%
34%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
REN
1 - 0
GBA
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
GBA
0 - 0
BFC
53%
27%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Motema Pembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SAI
1 - 0
MOT
34%
30%
37%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
LUB
1 - 2
MOT
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BFC
0 - 0
MOT
42%
29%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MOT
1 - 1
TPM
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 1
REN
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |