Grottaglie vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
57.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grottaglie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
PUT
1 - 0
GRO
49%
25%
26%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
GRO
0 - 1
TAR
9%
20%
71%
|
26 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SSM
2 - 1
GRO
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
GRO
0 - 1
SSE
26%
24%
49%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
POT
3 - 1
GRO
69%
19%
12%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GEL
3 - 1
SAR
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ARZ
3 - 2
GEL
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
GEL
3 - 2
GAL
15%
22%
63%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +3 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
POM
1 - 0
GEL
27%
27%
46%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GEL
2 - 1
MON
29%
27%
44%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |