Grossbardorf vs Bad Kötzting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grossbardorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
ROS
0 - 0
GRO
54%
23%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
GRO
1 - 1
BAY
27%
24%
49%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
UNT
1 - 0
GRO
57%
23%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
GRO
1 - 3
KSC
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -2 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
UNT
2 - 1
GRO
46%
25%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bad Kötzting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
BAD
2 - 2
RAI
35%
24%
42%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
BUC
4 - 1
BAD
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
BAD
2 - 0
ERB
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
ANS
1 - 1
BAD
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
TSV
3 - 0
BAD
70%
19%
11%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |