Grorud IL vs Valerenga IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
78.5%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.8%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grorud IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 4
GRO
55%
21%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
GRO
3 - 1
ODD
51%
22%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
GRO
2 - 0
FKT
69%
17%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
HON
1 - 2
GRO
44%
23%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
GRO
1 - 4
ELV
44%
24%
33%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
RAN
2 - 2
VIF
32%
25%
44%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
VIF
0 - 0
MFK
26%
25%
49%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
ARV
0 - 8
VIF
1%
4%
96%
|
74 | 22 | 52 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
IKS
1 - 6
VIF
37%
25%
39%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
VIF
1 - 4
STR
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -2 |