Grorud IL vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
12º
6º
21
1º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 54 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 52 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 51 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 47 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 46 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 42 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 42 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 21 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 21 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 18 |
13º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 17 |
14º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grorud IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
BAR
3 - 3
GRO
15%
18%
67%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
EID
1 - 2
GRO
49%
23%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
GRO
0 - 3
TRO
33%
25%
43%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
STR
1 - 1
GRO
43%
23%
35%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
HON
3 - 3
GRO
43%
22%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
HON
0 - 1
POR
65%
18%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
HON
0 - 1
ULL
55%
21%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
STB
0 - 3
HON
47%
23%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
HON
4 - 4
EID
45%
21%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
HON
3 - 3
GRO
43%
22%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |