Grorud II vs Fana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
79.2%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
9º
14º
14º
51
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grorud II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LYS
5 - 0
GRO
87%
10%
4%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ULL
0 - 3
GRO
33%
21%
46%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
GRO
1 - 3
GIF
11%
16%
73%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
4 - 2
GRO
75%
14%
11%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
GRO
0 - 2
STA
24%
20%
56%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Fana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
FAN
4 - 2
ULL
90%
7%
3%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GIF
2 - 1
FAN
42%
23%
36%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FAN
1 - 0
SAN
73%
15%
13%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
FRI
3 - 1
FAN
39%
22%
39%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FAN
5 - 2
LYS
23%
22%
55%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +4 |