Groningen U21 vs Willem II U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+84%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
8º
2º
10
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ACY
0 - 0
GRO
20%
20%
60%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 1
FYN
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PEC
1 - 1
GRO
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRO
3 - 1
ADO
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 4
GRO
29%
22%
49%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 1
ADO
29%
24%
47%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 0
WIL
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 0
EMM
38%
23%
39%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PEC
2 - 1
WIL
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 0
ACY
30%
22%
48%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |