Groningen U18 vs Excelsior U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
26.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
6º
3º
9
7º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HRV
2 - 2
GRO
17%
18%
65%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FDB
2 - 3
GRO
74%
15%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
GRO
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GRO
6 - 1
ALM
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VIT
4 - 1
GRO
38%
21%
40%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
EXC
0 - 5
VIT
46%
21%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 2
EXC
37%
21%
42%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
EXC
4 - 2
ADO
82%
11%
7%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 1
AFC
91%
7%
2%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
19%
18%
63%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -2 |