Groene Ster vs OSS '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
60.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
13º
17º
13º
36
4º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groene Ster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HSC
1 - 1
GRO
75%
16%
10%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 4
BLA
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
GVV
1 - 0
GRO
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 3
QUI
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GRO
3 - 1
BAR
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
OSS
1 - 1
UNA
58%
21%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
OSS
1 - 0
HSC
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UDI
2 - 3
OSS
19%
21%
60%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
OSS
2 - 2
QUI
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
OSS
1 - 2
EXC
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |