Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 2-2
Grödig vs Zimbru Chişinău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grödig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
GRO
2 - 1
STR
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 2
ČUK
73%
17%
11%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
AUS
1 - 1
GRO
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
ČUK
0 - 4
GRO
25%
24%
51%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 7
GRO
5%
14%
81%
|
75 | 31 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
ZIM
0 - 0
CSK
49%
27%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
CSK
1 - 1
ZIM
47%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
ZIM
2 - 0
SHK
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
SHK
2 - 1
ZIM
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
ZIM
1 - 1
SHF
35%
24%
41%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |