Grödig vs Horn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grödig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
ALT
0 - 1
GRO
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
GRO
3 - 0
LUS
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
PIN
0 - 4
GRO
22%
24%
54%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 2
ALT
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
LAS
1 - 1
GRO
70%
19%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
KAP
3 - 3
SVH
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
SVH
3 - 4
ALT
11%
20%
69%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
SKA
3 - 2
SVH
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
SVH
5 - 0
RIT
75%
16%
10%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
SOL
3 - 1
SVH
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | -1 |