Grödig vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grödig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
RIE
1 - 4
GRO
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 1
WIN
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AUS
2 - 0
GRO
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 2
WIE
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
RAP
0 - 0
GRO
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
STR
3 - 1
WIN
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
STR
1 - 1
AUS
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
WIE
2 - 1
STR
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
STR
1 - 4
WOL
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
RIE
2 - 2
STR
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |