Grimsby Town vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
TOT
2 - 1
GRI
81%
12%
7%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1928 |
SWA
2 - 1
GRI
55%
23%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1928 |
GRI
4 - 2
BRA
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1928 |
GRI
0 - 1
HUL
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1928 |
STO
1 - 2
GRI
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
REA
4 - 0
BRA
39%
27%
33%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1928 |
HUL
3 - 0
REA
65%
21%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1928 |
REA
2 - 1
POR
37%
27%
37%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1928 |
MIL
5 - 1
REA
62%
20%
18%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1928 |
REA
1 - 2
NOT
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |