Griffen vs St. Stefan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
64.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Griffen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
WOL
1 - 1
GRI
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
GRI
4 - 2
VOL
15%
21%
64%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
BLE
1 - 2
GRI
77%
15%
8%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
GRI
3 - 2
SAS
42%
25%
34%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
LEN
3 - 1
GRI
83%
12%
5%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
St. Stefan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
SCL
1 - 0
FLC
68%
18%
13%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
FCW
0 - 1
SCL
10%
19%
71%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
TRE
0 - 2
SCL
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
SCL
2 - 0
SCL
86%
10%
4%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
SCL
4 - 2
SVV
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -3 |