Griffen vs Rapid Lienz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
65.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Griffen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
EAC
3 - 1
GRI
68%
18%
14%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GRI
2 - 3
BLE
13%
19%
69%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SCL
2 - 1
GRI
54%
22%
24%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
GRI
1 - 2
WAC
20%
22%
58%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
WEL
7 - 0
GRI
54%
22%
24%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
RAP
0 - 1
SVV
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
VOL
1 - 0
RAP
27%
24%
50%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
RAP
1 - 1
LEN
34%
25%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DRA
0 - 0
RAP
57%
22%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
TRE
0 - 1
RAP
67%
19%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |