Grieskirchen vs St. Marienkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grieskirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 3
GRI
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
GRI
3 - 0
UNP
77%
13%
9%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
VOC
2 - 0
GRI
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
GRI
5 - 1
SIE
84%
11%
5%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
GMU
1 - 3
GRI
20%
22%
58%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
St. Marienkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 5
MAR
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
NEU
1 - 3
MAR
52%
21%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 1
BAD
33%
23%
45%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SSM
2 - 2
MAR
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BAD
5 - 3
MAR
41%
22%
37%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |