Grieskirchen vs St. Valentin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.9%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.7%
4.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grieskirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
GRI
1 - 1
GMU
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
OED
0 - 1
GRI
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
GRI
0 - 2
GRU
80%
13%
8%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 1
GRI
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
GRI
2 - 0
FCA
95%
4%
1%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
St. Valentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ASV
1 - 3
OED
9%
14%
77%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
GRU
3 - 4
ASV
65%
18%
18%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ASV
1 - 5
UNI
31%
22%
47%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
FCA
3 - 1
ASV
6%
13%
81%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ASV
1 - 3
WEL
52%
22%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |