Grevenmacher vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
RUM
0 - 5
GRE
19%
23%
58%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 1
DIF
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
JEU
1 - 2
GRE
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 2
LXC
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
F91
1 - 1
GRE
66%
18%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SWI
1 - 3
USH
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 0
SWI
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SWI
1 - 2
FOL
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 3
SWI
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
DIF
6 - 1
SWI
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |