Grevenmacher vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MAM
1 - 3
GRE
15%
19%
66%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 3
GRE
28%
23%
48%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 2
FOL
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
DIF
2 - 2
GRE
60%
21%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 2
LXC
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MER
0 - 3
SWI
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SWI
1 - 2
JEU
20%
24%
57%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
PRO
2 - 0
SWI
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SWI
2 - 1
RAC
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
KAE
4 - 1
SWI
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |