Grevenmacher vs Obercorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
RBE
1 - 2
GRE
14%
20%
66%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
GRE
5 - 0
USS
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
AVE
1 - 2
GRE
21%
22%
56%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 2
URE
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Obercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
OBE
5 - 3
SAN
31%
23%
47%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UKT
2 - 0
OBE
65%
18%
18%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
OBE
5 - 2
SYR
59%
19%
23%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
LUN
0 - 6
OBE
35%
21%
45%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
OBE
2 - 0
SPO
19%
20%
61%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +4 |