Grevenmacher vs Differdange 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
74.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
4 - 1
BET
26%
24%
51%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RUM
1 - 1
GRE
60%
20%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 2
BER
37%
24%
40%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FFN
1 - 4
GRE
23%
20%
57%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ATE
1 - 9
GRE
22%
22%
56%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
DIF
2 - 2
KAE
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
F91
3 - 1
DIF
55%
23%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
DIF
1 - 2
SWI
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RTR
0 - 12
DIF
5%
10%
86%
|
70 | 14 | 56 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
USM
0 - 1
DIF
20%
24%
56%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |