Grevenmacher vs Blô-Weiss Medernach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
8º
15º
13º
39
1º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 2
JEU
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
GRE
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 1
FCR
32%
25%
44%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LXC
1 - 1
GRE
23%
21%
56%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 0
JEU
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Blô-Weiss Medernach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
BWM
0 - 3
MAR
15%
20%
65%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FCR
2 - 0
BWM
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BWM
1 - 2
LXC
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
JEU
5 - 0
BWM
46%
24%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BWM
1 - 0
BET
20%
22%
58%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |