Greve IF vs Kastrup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greve IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
B93
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 3
GRE
28%
21%
51%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 2
JAG
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
KFU
1 - 0
GRE
40%
22%
38%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
VAN
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Kastrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
KAS
2 - 3
B19
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
KAS
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
KAS
3 - 0
FRE
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
KAS
0 - 5
FRE
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
JAG
0 - 3
KAS
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |